P I C T U R E
Will/should win: La La Land
Dark horse: Moonlight
F O R E I G N F I L M
Will win: The Salesman
Should/could win: Toni Erdmann
Dark horse: A Man Called Ove
A N I M A T E D F E A T U R E
Will win: Zootopia
Should/could win: Kubo and the Two Strings
D O C U M E N T A R Y
Will win: 13th
Should win: Fire at Sea
Could win: OJ: Made in America
D I R E C T O R
Will win: Damien Chazelle - La La Land
Should win: Barry Jenkins - Moonlight
A C T R E S S
Will/should win: Isabelle Huppert - Elle
Quite likely: Emma Stone - La La Land
Dark horse: Natalie Portman - Jackie
A C T O R
Will/should win: Casey Affleck - Manchester by the Sea
Quite likely: Denzel Washington - Fences
Dark horse: Ryan Gosling - La La Land
S U P P O R T I N G A C T R E S S
Will win: Viola Davis - Fences
Should win/dark horse: Naomie Harris - Moonlight
S U P P O R T I N G A C T O R
Will win: Mahershala Ali - Moonlight
Should win: Lucas Hedges - Manchester By The Sea
Dark horse: Dev Patel - Lion
O R I G I N A L S C R E E N P L A Y
Will/should win: Kenneth Lonergan - Manchester by the Sea
Could win: Damien Chazelle - La La Land
A D A P T E D S C R E E N P L A Y
Will/should win: Barry Jenkins - Moonlight
Dark horse: Luke Davies - Lion
S C O R E
Will win: Justin Hurwitz - La La Land
Should win: Mica Levi - Jackie
S O N G
Will win: City of Stars - La La Land
Should win: Audition (The Fools Who Dream) - La La Land
C I N E M A T O G R A P H Y
Will win: Linus Sandgren - La La Land
Should win: James Laxton - Moonlight
P R O D U C T I O N D E S I G N
Will win: David Wasco - La La Land
Should win: Jess Gonchor - Hail, Caesar!
F I L M E D I T I N G
Will win: Tom Cross - La La Land
Should win: Joe Walker - Arrival
C O S T U M E S
Will/should win: Madeline Fontaine - Jackie
Could win: Mary Zophres - La La Land
E F F E C T S
Will/should win: The Jungle Book
M A K E - U P & H A I R
Will/should win: A Man Called Ove
S O U N D
Should win: Arrival
Will win: La La Land
In 2017, getting 13 out of 20 right was about normal for me. But none of my "should win" hopes were realised in the other categories. This one felt rather predictable, except for Hacksaw Ridge and the superb kerfuffle at the very end.
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