And so Oscar night rolls around again, much earlier than usual, capping a crazily truncated awards season. Here are who I think has a good chance of winning, and who I hope will win. My track record isn't great here, and this year there are some big questions lingering, mainly how much love Ampas voters will have for a Korean movie.
Parasite is undoubtably the best movie of the year, perhaps the decade. But Oscars rarely actually go to the "best", as they're too busy honouring people they like. As always, I'm hoping for upsets and surprises...
BEST PICTURE
Should win: Parasite
Will win: 1917
Dark horse: Once Upon A Time ... in Hollywood
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Should win: Pain and Glory
Will win: Parasite
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Should win: Honeyland
Will win: American Factory
Dark horse: For Sama
ANIMATED FEATURE
Should win: I Lost My Body
Will win: Klaus
Dark horse: Missing Link
DIRECTING
Should win: Parasite - Bong Joon Ho
Will win: 1917 - Sam Mendes
Dark horse: Once Upon A Time ... in Hollywood - Quentin Tarantino
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Should win: The Two Popes - Anthony McCarten
Will win: Little Women - Greta Gerwig
Dark horse: Jojo Rabbit - Taika Waititi
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Should/will win: Parasite - Bong Joon Ho & Han Jin Won
Dark horse: Once Upon A Time...In Hollywood - Quentin Tarantino
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Should/will win: Renee Zellweger - Judy
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Should win: Antonio Banderas - Pain and Glory
Will win: Joaquin Phoenix - Joker
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Should/will win: Laura Dern - Marriage Story
Dark horse: Florence Pugh - Little Women
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Should win: Al Pacino - The Irishman
Will win: Brad Pitt - Once upon a Time ... in Hollywood
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Should/will win: 1917 - Roger Deakins
COSTUME DESIGN
Should win: Once Upon A Time ... in Hollywood - Arianne Phillips
Will win: Little Women - Jacqueline Durran
FILM EDITING
Should win: The Irishman - Thelma Schoonmaker
Will win: Ford v Ferrari - Michael Mccusker & Andrew Buckland
Dark horse: Parasite - Yang Jinmo
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Should win: Judy - Jeremy Woodhead
Will win: Bombshell - Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan & Vivian Baker
ORIGINAL SCORE
Should win: 1917 - Thomas Newman
Will win: Joker - Hildur Gudnadottir
Dark horse: Little Women - Alexandre Desplat
Always a contender: Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker - John Williams
ORIGINAL SONG
Should/will win: (I'm Gonna) Love Me Again - Rocketman, Elton John & Bernie Taupin
Dark horse: I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away - Toy Story 4, Randy Newman
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Should win: Once Upon A Time ... in Hollywood - Barbara Ling, Nancy Haigh
Will win: 1917 - Dennis Gassner, Lee Sandales
Dark horse: Parasite - Lee Ha Jun, Cho Won Woo
SOUND EDITING
Should win: 1917 - Oliver Tarney & Rachael Tate
Will win: Ford v Ferrari - Donald Sylvester
SOUND MIXING
Should win: 1917 - Mark Taylor & Stuart Wilson
Will win: Ford v Ferrari - Paul Massey, David Giammarco & Steven A Morrow
VISUAL EFFECTS
Should win: 1917 - Guillaume Rocheron, Greg Butler & Dominic Tuohy
Will win: Avengers: Endgame - Dan Deleeuw, Russell Earl, Matt Aitken & Dan Sudick